Changes in Spirometry Interpretative Strategies: Implications for Classifying COPD and Predicting Exacerbations

BACKGROUND: Recent guidelines for spirometry interpretation recommend both race-neutral reference equations and use of z score thresholds to define fi ne severity of airflow fl ow obstruction. RESEARCH QUESTION: How does the transition from race-specific fi c to race-neutral equations impact severity classifications fi cations for patients with COPD when using % predicted vs z score thresholds, and do changes in severity correspond to clinical risk? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included Black and White patients with COPD and available spirometry from the Johns Hopkins Health System. Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) 2012 (race-specific) fi c) equations and GLI Global (race-neutral) equations were used to determine FEV1 1 % predicted and z score values. Patients were classified fi ed as having mild, moderate, or severe disease according to % predicted or z score thresholds. Associations between a change in severity classification fi cation from race-specific fi c to race- neutral with COPD exacerbations and all-cause hospitalizations were evaluated using logistic regression. RESULTS: This cohort included 13,324 patients, of whom 9,232 patients (69.3%) were White (mean age, 65.7 years) and 4,092 patients (30.7%) were Black (mean age, 61.1 years). More Black than White patients showed a change in severity classification fi cation between approaches when using % predicted thresholds (20.2% vs 6.1%; P < .001), but not with z score thresholds (12.6% vs 12.3%; P 1 / 4 .68). An increased severity classification fi cation with a race-neutral approach was associated with increased risk of exacerbation when using z score thresholds (OR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.51-3.63), but not when using % predicted thresholds (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.61-1.93). A decreased severity classification fi cation with a race-neutral approach was associated with lower risk of exacerbation with both % predicted (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.28-0.87) and z score (OR 0.67; 95% CI, 0.50-0.90) thresholds. INTERPRETATION: The proportions of Black and White individuals reclassified fi ed were similar with z score thresholds, and changes in severity corresponded to clinical risk with z scores. These results support recent recommendations for use of race-neutral equations and z score thresholds for spirometry interpretation.