COMPLETE RETINAL PIGMENT EPITHELIAL AND OUTER RETINAL ATROPHY IN AGE-RELATED MACULAR DEGENERATION: A Longitudinal Evaluation.

PURPOSE:There is a need for robust earlier biomarkers of atrophic age-related macular degeneration that could act as surrogate endpoints for geographic atrophy (GA) in early interventional trials. This study sought to examine the risk of progression of complete retinal pigment epithelium and outer retinal atrophy (cRORA) to the traditional atrophic endpoint of GA on color fundus photography. This study also compared the risk of progression for cRORA to that associated with the specific optical coherence tomography features that define nascent GA (nGA), a strong predictor of GA development. METHODS:One hundred forty participants with bilateral large drusen at baseline underwent optical coherence tomography imaging and color fundus photography at 6-month intervals for up to 36 months. Optical coherence tomography volume scans were graded for the presence of cRORA and nGA, and color fundus photographs were graded for the presence of GA. The association and rate of progression to GA for cRORA and nGA were examined. RESULTS:Both cRORA and nGA were significantly associated with GA development (adjusted hazard ratio, 65.7 and 76.8 respectively; both P < 0.001). The probability of progression of cRORA to GA over 24 months (26%) was significantly lower than the probability of progression of nGA (38%; P = 0.039). CONCLUSION:This study confirmed that cRORA was a significant risk factor for developing GA, although its rate of progression was slightly lower compared with nGA. While requiring replication in future studies, these findings suggest that the specific features of photoreceptor degeneration used to define nGA appear important when assessing the risk of progression.