Amyloid Predicts Longitudinal Atrophy in Non‐demented Individuals: Results from the AMYPAD Prognostic & Natural History Study

Background While the association between tau deposition on PET and brain atrophy on MRI is well documented in the literature, the relation between amyloid deposition and neurodegeneration in the earliest stages of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is less studied. We investigated this relationship in a large cohort of non‐demented individuals. Method We included 1355 participants from the AMYPAD Prognostic & Natural History study (PNHS) with available MRI and amyloid‐PET. Among those, 753 had longitudinal MRI, with a mean follow‐up time of 3.47 years ( SD = 1.55). The FreeSurfer 7.0.1 longitudinal pipeline was used to measure gray matter (GM) thickness and volumes in 40 regions (Reuter et al., 2012; Desikan et al., 2006). From PET scans, cortical amyloid burden was assessed globally using the Centiloid (CL) method. MRI‐derived regional volumes and thickness were harmonized across sites with neuroCombat (Fortin et al., 2018); all variables were Z‐scored. Linear mixed‐effect models were used to investigate the effect of amyloid burden at baseline and its interaction with time on regional volume and thickness measurements. Models were corrected for age, sex, and CDR. P ‐values were FDR‐adjusted. Result Cohort characteristics are shown in Table 1 . Decreasing cortical thickness and volumes were observed over time in most regions. At baseline, higher amyloid burden was related to smaller volumes of the hippocampus, amygdala, putamen, and lateral ventricles; and thinner entorhinal cortex, precuneus and posterior cingulate cortex. At follow‐up, subjects with higher baseline amyloid burden showed greater loss of volume and thickness in mainly temporal and parietal regions, as well as amygdala and hippocampal volume ( Figure 1 ). Conclusion In the largely asymptomatic AMYPAD PNHS cohort, we show that amyloid burden at baseline is predictive of future neurodegeneration, especially affecting temporal volume and parietal thickness. Cortical thickness was slightly more sensitive towards amyloid burden at baseline, while loss of cortical volume was greater than loss of thickness.