Turkiye’de Ihracatin Ithalati Karsilama Orani

[TR] Turkiye’nin 1994-2012 donemindeki ikili ticaret verilerine dayanarak, ihracatin ithalati karsilama oraninin ticaret ortaklarinin kuruna ve Gayri Safi Yurt Ici Hasilasina olan duyarliligi arastirilmistir. Ticaret ortaklarinin Gayri Safi Yurt Ici Hasilasindaki yuzde 1’lik bir buyumeye karsilik Turkiye’nin karsilama oraninda yuzde 1,6-1,7 oraninda bir artis gozlenmektedir. Ticaret ortaklarinin reel (efektif) kurlarinin yuzde 1 oraninda degerlenmesi ise Turkiye’nin karsilama oranlarinda yuzde 0,94-1,45 oraninda bir artisa karsilik gelmektedir. [EN] Using Turkey’s bilateral trade data from the 1994-2012 period, this note investigates the sensitivity of the export/import coverage ratio to trading partner exchange rate and Gross Domestic Product. Empirical findings indicate that a 1 percent growth in trading partners’ Gross Domestic Product is associated with a 1.6-1.7 percent increase in the coverage ratio, while 1 percent appreciation in trading partner’s real exchange rate is associated with 0.94-1.45 percent increase in the coverage ratio.