Bacterial Colonisation of the Airway in Neonates and Risk of Asthma and Allergy until Age 18 Years.

Background We previously showed an association between neonatal bacterial airway colonisation and increased risk of persistent wheeze/asthma until age 5 years. Here, we study the association with persistent wheeze/asthma and allergy-related traits until age 18 years. Methods We investigated the association between airway colonisation with Streptococcus pneumoniae, Moraxella catarrhalis and/or Haemophilus influenzae in 1-month-old neonates from the COPSAC(2000) mother-child cohort and the development of persistent wheeze/asthma and allergy-related traits longitudinally until age 18 years using generalised estimating equations. Replication was sought in the similarly designed COPSAC(2010) cohort of 700 children. Results Neonatal airway colonisation was present in 66 (21%) out of 319 children and was associated with a 4-fold increased risk of persistent wheeze/asthma (adjusted OR 4.01 (95% CI 1.76-9.12); p<0.001) until age 7 years, but not from age 7 to 18 years. Replication in the COPSAC2010 cohort showed similar results using 16S data. Colonisation was associated with an increased number of exacerbations (adjusted incidence rate ratio 3.20 (95% CI 1.38-7.44); p<0.01) until age 7 years, but not from age 7 to 18 years. Colonisation was associated with increased levels of blood eosinophils (adjusted geometric mean ratio 1.24 (95% CI 1.06-1.44); p<0.01) and tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha (adjusted geometric mean ratio 1.09 (95% CI 1.02-1.16); p=0.01) until age 12 years. There were no associations with lung function, bronchial reactivity, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, allergic sensitisation, total IgE or atopic dermatitis up to age 18 years. Conclusions Neonatal airway colonisation was associated with early-onset persistent wheeze/asthma, exacerbations, elevated blood eosinophils and elevated TNF-alpha in blood, most prominent in early childhood, thereafter diminishing and no longer evident by age 18 years.