An analysis of interdecadal variations in the perturbational feedback parameter based on a MIROC6 piControl simulation

Abstract The climate feedback parameter is a useful indicator for estimating climate sensitivity relating to anthropogenic forcing. This study defines a new feedback parameter, the Perturbational Feedback Parameter (PFP), and the impacts of internally-generated climate variations are clarified using the MIROC piControl simulation. PFP values are found to vary significantly on interdecadal timescales. The equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) has a positive anomaly in the eastern Pacific and a negative anomaly in the western Pacific, and the thermocline tilts more gently than usual when the PFP is large. The statistical properties of the interannual fluctuations also simultaneously vary, and they correspond to the background state. For example, there is an increase in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude relative to the global mean surface temperature rise, and the equatorial high SST more effectively contributes to the southward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). In addition, a decadal fluctuation that dominates over the extratropical northern Pacific also plays an important role in PFP variations. These fluctuations on broad timescales cooperatively induce increases in lower clouds within the subtropics by strengthening the descending flow and static stability, and the consequential net downward radiation flux change through increases in reflection enhances the PFP. In summary, internal changes in both tropical and extratropical variability corresponding to the background state control the strength of the climate feedback on interdecadal timescales.