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Frequency spillover effects and cross-quantile dependence between crude oil and stock markets: Evidence from BRICS and G7 countries

Huiming Zhu, Xi Huang,Fangyu Ye, Shuang Li

NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE(2024)

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摘要
This study investigates the lead-lag nonlinear dependence relationship between crude oil and stock markets by employing a joint analysis of both frequency and cross-quantile perspectives. We propose a novel rolling window cross-quantile approach to capture the dynamic nonlinear de-pendencies across market conditions. Our empirical findings reveal that BRICS countries pri-marily receive net spillovers, while G7 countries, with the exception of Japan, act as net transmitters of spillovers. Additionally, with an extended time span, crude oil transitions from being a risk receiver to becoming a risk transmitter. Furthermore, the stock market returns of twelve countries are extremely vulnerable to oil price shocks under extreme market conditions, and the dependence between the crude oil and Russian stock returns is the highest. Finally, significant crisis events can briefly amplify the magnitude of risk spillovers. Overall, these dis-coveries furnish valuable insights for policymakers and investors seeking to refine their policies and investment strategies to reduce uncertainties in stock returns.
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关键词
Frequency spillover effects,Cross-quantile dependence,Crude oil,Stock market returns
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