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Modeling on the trajectory and impacts of tropical cyclones highlighting the Hurricane Katrina 2005

Modeling Earth Systems and Environment(2024)

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摘要
In this article, we adopt a simplified approach to describe the processes utilized in the parameterization of a parametric model, focusing primarily on the analysis of hurricanes. The model in question has demonstrated a significant capacity to represent variations in the radial wind profile of hurricanes. One of the advantages of this model is the precise determination of certain parameters, such as maximum wind, radial wind, among others. Additionally, the results satisfactorily depict the evolution of these parameters over time, particularly during the intensification phase. Another crucial aspect is that the model has managed to detect the high friction velocity region near the "eye" of the system. This capability persisted even during periods of system intensification and dissipation, being capable of identifying the core of the system, despite facing challenges with increasing central pressure. Regarding the latent heat flux, its increase near the system's "eye" is clearly identified. As the system develops, there is a greater release of latent heat on the eye wall due to the condensation of water vapor in the troposphere. Simultaneously, there is an increase in the sensible heat flux as the hurricane evolves, indicating that the instability mechanism of heat exchange at the surface responds to the rising cyclonic wind over the surface during this evolutionary phase.
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关键词
Hurricanes,Hurricane model,Parametric model,Katrina Hurricane
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