Protective Factors for Adolescent Sexual Risk Behaviours and Experiences Linked to HIV Infection in South Africa: a Three-Wave Longitudinal Analysis of Caregiving, Education, Food Security, and Social Protection

Structural interventions are endorsed to enhance biomedical and behavioural HIV prevention programmes for adolescents. Aiming to inform future interventions, we evaluated longitudinal associations between six protective factors that link closely to existing structural HIV prevention interventions, and five sexual risk behaviours for HIV transmission in a cohort of adolescents in South Africa. We used three rounds of data between 2014–2018 on 1046 adolescents living with HIV and 473 age-matched community peers in South Africa’s Eastern Cape (Observations = 4402). We estimated sex-specific associations between six time-varying protective factors − number of social grants, education enrolment, days with enough food, caregiver supervision, positive caregiving, and adolescent-caregiver communication; and five HIV risk behaviours − multiple sexual partners, transactional sex, age-disparate sex, condomless sex, and sex on substances. HIV risk behaviours were analysed separately in multivariable random effects within-between logistic regression models that accounted for correlation of repeated observations on the same individual. We calculated prevalence ratios (PR), contrasting adjusted probabilities of HIV risk behaviours at ‘No’ and ‘Yes’ for education enrolment, and average and maximum values for the other five protective factors. The sample mean age was 15.29 (SD: 3.23) years and 58