Effect measure modification of the association between short-term exposures to PM2.5 and hospitalizations by longs-term PM2.5 exposure among a cohort of people with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) in North Carolina, 2002–2015

Approximately nine million adults in the United States are living with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and positive associations between short-term air pollution exposure and increased risk of COPD hospitalizations in older adults are consistently reported. We examined the association between short-term PM2.5 exposure and hospitalizations and assessed if there is modification by long-term exposure in a cohort of individuals with COPD. In a time-referent case-crossover design, we used a cohort of randomly selected individuals with electronic health records from the University of North Carolina Healthcare System, restricted to patients with a medical encounter coded with a COPD diagnosis from 2004–2016 (n = 520), and estimated ambient PM2.5 concentrations from an ensemble model. Odds ratios and 95