Predictive biomarkers of ossification progression and bone metabolism dynamics in patients with cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament

Purpose This study aimed to establish biomarkers to predict the progression of ossification by examining ossification volume and bone metabolism dynamics in patients with ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL). Methods We assessed OPLL progression using computed tomography-based three-dimensional (3D) image analysis and examined bone metabolism dynamics in 107 patients with OPLL (men, 72; women, 35; mean age, 63.6 years). The volume of OPLL was calculated twice during the follow-up period, and OPLL progression was evaluated by the annual rate of ossification increase. Bone metabolism dynamics were assessed by routine blood tests and analysis of various serum biomarkers (including 25-hydroxyvitamin D, intact parathyroid hormone, fibroblast growth factor 23, intact N-terminal propeptide of type 1, tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase isoform 5b, sclerostin, and Dickkopf-1) and bone mineral density (BMD). Patients were classified into the progression (P) or non-progression (NP) group according to the annual rate of increase in previous 3D image analyses, and associated factors between these groups were compared. Results The P and NP groups consisted of 29 patients (23 men and 6 women) and 78 patients (49 men and 29 women), respectively. Univariate analysis revealed significant differences in terms of age, body mass index, serum phosphorus, serum sclerostin, and BMD. In multivariate analysis, age, serum phosphorus, and serum sclerostin were identified as independent factors associated with OPLL progression. Conclusion Younger age, hypophosphatemia, and high serum sclerostin are risk factors for OPLL progression. Serum phosphorus and sclerostin could serve as important biomarkers for predicting ossification progression.