Predicting Lumbar Vertebral Osteopenia Using LvOPI Scores and Logistic Regression Models in an Exploratory Study of Premenopausal Taiwanese Women

Purpose To propose hybrid predicting models integrating clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features to diagnose lumbar vertebral osteopenia (LvOPI) in premenopausal women. Methods This prospective study enrolled 101 Taiwanese women, including 53 before and 48 women after menopause. Clinical information, including age, body height, body weight and body mass index (BMI), were recorded. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured by the dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Lumbar vertebral fat fraction (LvFF) was measured by MRI. LvOPI scores (LvOPISs) comprising different clinical features and LvFF were constructed to diagnose LvOPI. Statistical analyses included normality tests, linear regression analyses, logistic regression analyses, group comparisons, and diagnostic performance. A P value less than 0.05 was considered as statistically significant. Results The post-menopausal women had higher age, body weight, BMI, LvFF and lower BMD than the pre-menopausal women (all P < 0.05). The lumbar vertebral osteoporosis group had significantly higher age, longer MMI, and higher LvFF than the LvOPI group (all P < 0.05) and normal group (all P < 0.005). LvOPISs (AUC, 0.843 to 0.864) outperformed body weight (0.747; P = 0.0566), BMI (0.737; P < 0.05), age (0.649; P < 0.05), and body height (0.5; P < 0.05) in diagnosing LvOPI in the premenopausal women. Hybrid predicting models using logistic regression analysis (0.894 to 0.9) further outperformed all single predictors in diagnosing LvOPI in the premenopausal women ( P < 0.05). Conclusion The diagnostic accuracy of the LvOPI can be improved by using our proposed hybrid predicting models in Taiwanese premenopausal women.