Computed Tomography Imaging-Based Predictors of the Need for a Step-Up Approach after Initial Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Transmural Drainage for Pancreatic Fluid Collections

A step-up approach is recommended as a new treatment algorithm for pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs). However, determining which patients with PFCs require a step-up approach after endoscopic ultrasound-guided transmural drainage (EUS-TD) is unclear. If the need for a step-up approach could be predicted, it could be performed early for relevant patients. We aimed to identify PFC-related predictive factors for a step-up approach after EUS-TD. This retrospective cohort study included consecutive patients who had undergone EUS-TD for PFCs from January 2008 to May 2020. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate PFC factors related to requiring a step-up approach. A step-up approach was performed for patients who did not respond clinically to EUS-TD. We enrolled 81 patients, of whom 25 (30.9 Pre-EUS-TD PFC-occupied regions, post-EUS-TD PFC-remaining percentage, and a positive sponge sign were predictors of the need for a step-up approach. Patients with PFC with these findings should be offered a step-up approach whereas conservative treatment is recommended for patients without these findings. UMIN 000030898.