The statistical power of genome-wide association studies for threshold traits with different frequencies of causal variants

This study aimed to investigate the effects of incidence rate, heritability, and polygenic variance on the statistical power of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for threshold traits. Different incidence rates of threshold trait (1, 3, 5, 10, 25, 40, 50, 60, 75 and 90%), heritability (10 and 25%), and polygenic variance ratio (0 and 25%) were simulated separately for common (MAF ≥ 0.05), low-frequency (0.05 > MAF ≥ 0.01), and rare (MAF < 0.01) variants. Association studies were performed by logistic and linear mixed models. The highest statistical powers were observed in common and low-frequency variants with an incidence of 25–50% and 10–40%, respectively, but for rare variants, the highest statistical power was observed at low incidence. For all causal variant frequencies, the estimated heritability decline with an increase in incidence rate. We found high statistical power for traits with high heritability. In contrast, those with a high polygenic variance ratio have lower statistical power to detect common causal variants using a linear mixed model. These results demonstrate that the incidence rate of threshold traits, heritability, and polygenic variance may affect the statistical power of GWAS. Therefore, it is recommended that the effect of incidence rate, heritability, and polygenic variance be considered in designing GWAS for threshold traits.