Identification Of Geo-Environmental Factors On Benggang Susceptibility And Its Spatial Modelling Using Comparative Data-Driven Methods

SOIL & TILLAGE RESEARCH(2021)

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摘要
Benggang, a fragmented erosion landform, is the most serious threat to the sustainable development of ecosystem and economy in southern China. However, few studies have been conducted on variations and conditions of the geo-environmental factors that influence the susceptibility of Benggang. To address this challenge, the spatial susceptibility of Benggang was investigated using three data-driven methods (multinomial logistic regression, MLR; random forest, RF; multilayer perceptron, MLP) in Fujian province, and the dominant driving forces to Benggang susceptibility were identified by Boruta algorithm, while the contribution of each factor's class to Benggang occurrence was determined by frequency ratio (FR). Herein, thirteen conditioning factors with relate to geomorphology, climate, vegetation, and land use was employed. Among these factors, the most noticeable contributions to Benggang occurrence at a provincial scale were from rainfall erosivity, soil moisture, and NDVI with their corresponding critical ranges of 7475 similar to 8349 MJ mm(ha ha)(-1), 0.268 similar to 0.297 m(3) m(-3), and 0.58 similar to 0.68. According to the area under the success rate and prediction curves (AUC) for the evaluation of susceptibility modelling, the averaged training accuracies for susceptibility levels were 85.70 %, 99.99 % and 99.23 %, while the prediction accuracies were 85.79 %, 99.17 % and 97.07 % for MLR, RF and MLP, respectively. In general, RF with its AUC value, exceeding 98% at each susceptibility level for both success and prediction curve, was especially suitable for the assessment of the regional Benggang susceptibility. Furthermore, the methodological framework of this study could be implanted in Benggang erosion regions with similar conditions and data availabilities, whereas different data mining techniques and condition factors should be considered at different scales in our future work.
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关键词
Benggang, Susceptibility modelling, Multinomial logistic regression, Random forest, Multilayer perceptron
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