How does climate variability affect water quality dynamics in Canada's oil sands region?

In Canada's oil sands region, classic boreal hydrology (i.e., winter low flow followed by peaks during spring freshet and then summer flow recession) combined with erosion of both natural and anthropogenically-exposed bitumen results in seasonal and inter-annual variability in stream water chemistry. Using data collected from all seasons over three years (2012-2015), we investigated the mechanisms driving spatial and temporal change in the concentration of 26 water quality parameters for six rivers draining Canada's oil sands region. Mantel tests showed a strong spatial aggregation of climatic drivers (average daily precipitation, accumulated precipitation, snow water equivalent) associated with west versus east discharge patterns. Wavelet analysis highlighted unique watershed attributes, in particular the importance of developed area in lowering responsiveness to seasonal precipitation. Concentrations of most chemical parameters (20 of 23) showed distinct temporal patterns that were correlated with seasonal changes in hydrology which, in turn, were related to changes in weather. Comparison of concentrations observed in this study with those reported in the scientific literature for the same watersheds showed 81% of comparisons differed significantly. This was likely due to the short duration of previous field campaigns and thus the sampling of a very narrow window of the annual streamflow regime.