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Graphical Modeling of Stochastic Processes Driven by Correlated Noise

Bernoulli(2022)

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Abstract
We study a class of graphs that represent local independence structures in stochastic processes allowing for corre-lated noise processes. Several graphs may encode the same local independencies and we characterize such equiv-alence classes of graphs. In the worst case, the number of conditions in our characterizations grows superpolyno-mially as a function of the size of the node set in the graph. We show that deciding Markov equivalence of graphs from this class is coNP-complete which suggests that our characterizations cannot be improved upon substantially. We prove a global Markov property in the case of a multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which is driven by correlated Brownian motions.
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Key words
Graphical models,stochastic processes,local independence,Markov equivalence,Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
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