Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: a Boltzmann Function-Based Modeling Study

Yuanyuan Gao,Zuqin Zhang,Wei Yao,Qi Ying,Cheng Long,Xinmiao Fu

INFECTION CONTROL AND HOSPITAL EPIDEMIOLOGY（2020）

引用 41|浏览9

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摘要

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

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