Positive STAT5 protein and locus amplification status predicts recurrence after radical prostatectomy to assist clinical precision management of prostate cancer.

Background: A significant fraction of prostate cancer patients experience post-radical prostatectomy (RP) biochemical recurrence (BCR). New predictive markers are needed for optimizing postoperative prostate cancer management. STAT5 is an oncogene in prostate cancer that undergoes amplification in 30% of prostate cancers during progression. Methods: We evaluated the significance of a positive status for nuclear STAT5 protein expression versus STAT5 locus amplification versus combined positive status for both in predicting BCR after RP in 300 patients. Results: Combined positive STAT5 status was associated with a 45% disadvantage in BCR in Kaplan-Meier survival analysis in all Gleason grade patients. Patients with Gleason grade group (GG) 2 and 3 prostate cancers and combined positive status for STAT5 had a more pronounced disadvantage of 55% to 60% at 7 years after RP in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, including the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment Postsurgical nomogram (CAPRA-S) variables, combined positive STAT5 status was independently associated with a shorter BCR-free survival in all Gleason GG patients (HR, 2.34; P = 0.014) and in intermediate Gleason GG 2 or 3 patients ( HR, 3.62; P = 0.021). The combined positive STAT5 status improved the predictive value of the CAPRA-S nomogram in both ROC-AUC analysis and in decision curve analysis for BCR. Conclusions: Combined positive status for STAT5 was independently associated with shorter disease-free survival in univariate analysis and was an independent predictor for BCR in multivariate analysis using the CAPRA-S variables in prostate cancer. Impact: Our results highlight potential for a novel precision medicine concept based on a pivotal role of STAT5 status in improving selection of prostate cancer patients who are candidates for early adjuvant interventions to reduce the risk of recurrence.