运用数学经济模型进行实验动物生产与销售趋势预测

郑红, 付应鹤

Academic Journal of Kunming Medical College(2002)

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Abstract
目的:定量预测SD大鼠和ICR小鼠的年度及月份销售量, 制定出动物的繁殖计划. 方法:运用二次曲线趋势预测法和繁殖函数对1995年至2000年动物生产繁殖销售资料进行分析,预测新一年的动物销售总趋势及繁殖计划.结果: SD大鼠二次曲线趋势方程Y=1869.63+624.89X +43.58X2 ;繁殖函数MI=0.1530R*IQI.ICR小鼠二次曲线趋势方程Y=5131.01+1672.96X+97.20X2 ;繁殖函数MI=0.1286 RI*QI. 结论:模型预测有助于指导生产,减少盲目性.
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Livestock Breeding
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