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Representing High-Latitude Deep Carbon in the Pre-Industrial State of the ORCHIDEE-MICT Land Surface Model (R8704)

crossref(2025)

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Abstract
Abstract. Field measurements, after extrapolation, suggest that deep Yedoma deposits (formed during the Pleistocene) and peatlands (formed during the Holocene) account for over 700 Pg C of soil carbon storage. Incorporating this old, deep, cold carbon into land surface models (LSMs) is crucial for accurately quantifying soil carbon responses to future warming. However, it remains underrepresented or absent in current LSMs, which typically include a passive soil carbon pool to represent all 'old carbon' and lack the vertical accumulation processes that deposited deep carbon in the soil layers of peat and Yedoma. In this study, we propose a new, more realistic protocol for simulating deep and cold carbon accumulation in the high latitudes, using the ORCHIDEE-MICT model. This is achieved by 1) integrating deep carbon from Yedoma deposits whose formation is calculated using Last Glacial Maximum climate conditions, and 2) prescribing the inception time and location of northern peatlands during the Holocene using spatially explicit data on peat age. Our results show an additional 157 Pg C in present-day Yedoma deposits, as well as a shallower peat carbon depth (by 1–5 m) and 35 Pg C (43 %) less passive soil carbon in northern peatlands, compared to the old protocol that ignored Yedoma deposits and applied a uniform, long-duration (13,500 years) peat carbon accumulation across all peatlands. As a result, the total organic carbon stock across the Northern Hemisphere (> 30° N) simulated by the new protocol is 2,028 Pg C, which is 226 Pg C higher than the previous estimate. Despite the significant challenge in simulating deep carbon with ORCHIDEE-MICT, the improvements in the representation of carbon accumulation from this study provide a model version to predict deep carbon evolution during the last glacial-deglacial transition and its response to future warming. The methodology implemented for deep carbon initialization in permafrost and cold regions in ORCHIDEE-MICT is also applicable to other LSMs.
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要点】:本研究提出了一种新的协议,用于在ORCHIDEE-MICT陆面模型中更真实地模拟高纬度地区深冷碳的积累,提高了对未来变暖情景下土壤碳响应的准确预测。

方法】:通过在模型中集成来自Yedoma沉积物的深碳,并使用显式空间数据指定北方泥炭地的形成时间和位置,实现了对深冷碳积累的模拟。

实验】:使用ORCHIDEE-MICT模型进行模拟,结果表明新协议下当今Yedoma沉积物中的碳增加了157 Pg C,北方泥炭地的碳深度变浅(1–5 m),被动土壤碳减少了35 Pg C(43%),使得北半球(> 30° N)的总有机碳储量比之前估计高出226 Pg C。