Self-Tuning Process Noise in Variational Bayesian Adaptive Kalman Filter for Target Tracking

Many practical systems, such as target tracking, navigation systems, autonomous vehicles, and other applications, are usually applied in dynamic conditions. Thus, the actual noise statistics characteristics of these systems are generally time varying and unknown, which will deteriorate the state estimation accuracy of the Kalman filter (KF) and even cause filter diverging. To address this issue, this paper proposes an adaptive process noise covariance (Qk)-based variational Bayesian adaptive Kalman filter (AQ-VBAKF) algorithm. Firstly, the adaptive factor is introduced to self-tune the process noise covariance; the adaptive factor is obtained based on the innovation sequences, which can adapt to the input measurement values. Then, the VB solution is applied to approximate the time variant and unknown measurement noise covariance. Therefore, this proposed algorithm can adjust the process noise covariance and the measurement noise covariance simultaneously based on the variable input signals, which can improve the self-adaptive ability of the state estimation filter in dynamic conditions. According to the dynamic target tracking test results, the proposed AQ-VBAKF outperforms several other existing filtering methods in estimation accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.