Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors in patients with treated spinal dural arteriovenous fistulas: a prospective cohort study

Objective To define the pattern of long-term clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in patients with spinal dural arteriovenous fistulas (SDAVFs). Desgin Prospective cohort study based on constantly recruiting patients with SDAVFs in two medical centres in China. Setting Patients with SDAVFs were recruited consecutively between March 2013 and December 2014 in two referral centres. Participants A prospective cohort of 94 patients with SDAVFs was included in this study, and 86 patients (mean age 53.0 years, 71 men) completed the study. Patients who had previously undergone endovascular or neurosurgical treatment or had neurological dysfunction caused by other diseases or refused treatment were excluded. Interventions All patients underwent neurosurgery or endovascular embolisation. These patients were evaluated with the modified Aminoff and Logue's Scale (mALS) 1 day before and 3, 6, 12 and 72 months after treatments. Results The duration of symptoms ranged from 0.5 to 66 months (average 12.8 months). The location of SDAVFs was as follows: 33.7% above T7, 50.0% between/include T7 and T12% and 16.3% below T12. 75 patients (87.2%) underwent neurosurgical treatment, and 9 patients (10.5%) underwent endovascular treatment. 58 patients (67.4%) exhibited an improvement in mALS of one point or greater at 72 months. Patients with less disability were more likely to improve at 72 months (p<0.05). 48 patients (55.8%) showed deterioration at 72 months compared with 12 months. 61% of the patients suffered numbness, and 22% had pain before treatment. However, 81% of patients had numbness, and 28% had pain after treatment. This deterioration was related to 1-year mALS and age. Conclusion Nearly two-thirds of the patients experienced clinical improvement at 72 months, and preoperative (1 day before treatment) mALS was the strongest predictor of clinical improvement. However, 55.8% of patients showed deterioration after temporary recovery. All patients with SDAVFs should accept treatment as soon as possible.