PET Imaging and Rate of Pathologic Complete Response in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background For locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), chemoradiation (ChemoRT) followed by surgery offers the best chance of cure, with a 35–50% pathologic complete response (pCR) rate. Given the morbidity of esophagectomy and the possibility of pCR with ChemoRT, a ‘watch and wait’ strategy has been proposed, particularly for squamous cell carcinoma. The ability to accurately predict which patients will have pCR from ChemoRT is critical in treatment decision making. This study assessed positron emission tomography (PET) in predicting pCR after neoadjuvant ChemoRT for ESCC. Methods ESCC patients treated with ChemoRT followed by surgery were identified. Maximum standard uptake value (SUV), metabolic tumor volume, total lesion glycolysis, and first-order textual features of standard deviation, kurtosis and skewness were measured from PET. Univariable and multivariable generalized linear method analyses were performed. A metabolic complete response (mCR) was defined as a post-therapy PET scan with maximum SUV < 4.0. Results Twenty-seven patients underwent ChemoRT followed by surgery, with overall pCR seen in 11 (41%) patients and radiographic mCR seen in 12 (44%) patients. Final pathology for these 12 patients revealed pCR (ypT0N0M0) in 5 (42%) patients and persistent disease in 7 (58%) patients. Univariate analysis did not reveal PET parameters predictive of pCR. Conclusion Treatment of ESCC with ChemoRT often results in a robust clinical response. Among patients with an mCR after ChemoRT, disease persistence was found in 58%. The inability of PET to predict pCR is important in the context of a ‘watch and wait’ strategy for ESCC treated with ChemoRT.