Multistage carcinogenesis: a unified framework for cancer data analysis

Traditional approaches to the analysis of epidemiologic data are focused on estimation of the relative risk and are based on the proportional hazards model. Proportionality of hazards in epidemiologic data is a strong assumption that is often violated but seldom checked. Risk often depends on detailed patterns of exposure to environmental agents, but detailed exposure histories are difficult to incorporate in the traditional approaches to analyses of epidemiologic data. For epidemiologic data on cancer, an alternative approach to analysis can be based on ideas of multistage carcinogenesis. The process of carcinogenesis is characterized by mutation accumulation and clonal expansion of partially altered cells on the pathway to cancer. Although this paradigm is now firmly established, most epidemiologic studies of cancer incorporate ideas of multistage carcinogenesis neither in their design nor in their …