Combined effect of time in target range and variability of systolic blood pressure on cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in patients with hypertension: A prospective cohort study

Time in target range (TTR) and blood pressure variability (BPV) of systolic blood pressure (SBP) are independent risk factors for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. However, the association of the combination of low TTR and high BPV of SBP with the risk of MACE and all-cause mortality is unclear. This study sought to investigate the combined effect of the TTR and BPV on the risk of MACE and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension. A total of 11 496 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan cohort study were included in our study. All participants were divided into four groups according to their TTR and BPV levels. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident MACE and all-cause mortality. During a median follow-up of 5.64 years, 839 MACEs (included 99 cases of myocardial infarction, 591 cases of stroke, and 191 cases of heart failure) and 621 deaths occurred. Compared with the high-TTR and low-BPV group, the HRs (95% CI) of MACE and all-cause mortality were 1.309 (1.025-1.671) and 1.842 (1.373-2.473) for the high-TTR and high-BPV group, 1.692 (1.347-2.125) and 1.731 (1.298-2.309) for the low-TTR & low-BPV group, 2.132 (1.728-2.629) and 2.247 (1.722-2.932) for the low-TTR & high-BPV group. Our study suggests that the combination of low TTR and high BPV of SBP was associated with a higher risk of MACE and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension.