Equitably allocating wildfire resilience investments for power grids: The curse of aggregation and vulnerability indices

Wildfires ignited by power systems infrastructure are among the most destructive wildfires; hence some utility companies in wildfire-prone regions have pursued a proactive policy of emergency power shutoffs. These shutoffs, while mitigating the risk of disastrous ignition events, result in power outages that could negatively impacts vulnerable communities. In this paper, we consider how to equitably allocate funds to underground and effectively de-risk power lines in transmission networks. We explore the impact of the 2021 White House resource allocation policy called the Justice40 initiative, which states that 40 go to socially vulnerable communities. The definition of what constitutes a vulnerable community varies by organization, and we consider two major recently proposed vulnerability indices: the Justice40 index created under the 2021 White House and the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) developed by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). We show that allocating budget according to these two indices fails to reduce power outages for indigenous communities and those subject to high wildfire ignition risk using a high-fidelity synthetic power grid dataset that matches the key features of the Texas transmission system. We discuss how aggregation of communities and "one size fits all" vulnerability indices might be the reasons for the misalignment between the goals of vulnerability indices and their realized impact in this particular case study. We provide a method of achieving an equitable investment plan by adding group-level protections on percentage of load that is shed across each population group of interest.