Statistical reanalysis of Archean zircon paleointensities: No evidence for stagnant-lid tectonics

The initiation of mobile-lid plate tectonics on Earth represented a critical transition towards a more familiar world in terms of surface temperature stabilization, biogeochemical cycling, topography creation, and other processes. Zircon-based estimates of the geomagnetic field intensity have recently been cited as providing evidence for the lack of mobile-lid motion between 3.9 and 3.4 billion years ago (Ga). We reanalyze the published dataset of 91 zircon paleointensities from the Jack Hills (Australia) and Green Sandstone Bed (GSB; South Africa) localities within this time interval and, using both analytical and bootstrap resampling approaches, show that the small number of samples result in large uncertainties in implied paleolatitude. Specifically, in more likely scenarios that do not assume coherent motion for both localities, all latitudinal displacements on Earth are permitted within the 95 % confidence interval. We also examine the less likely scenario that the two landmasses shared a motion history, which increases the data density and presents the best-case scenario for constraining latitudinal motion. In this case, the 95 % confidence interval of the zircon paleointensity data is compatible with the displacements of between 35 % and 52 % of modern continental localities, all of which experience mobile-lid tectonics. Finally, generating expected paleointensity time series for modern continents undergoing mobile-lid motion shows that about two-thirds of these motions would not be resolved by zircon paleointensities, even in the best-case scenario of combining Jack Hills and GSB datasets. All of these analyses assume that these zircons retain a primary paleomagnetic signal, an assertion which is opposed by a number of published zircon magnetism studies. We conclude that Archean zircon paleointensities do not provide evidence for or against mobile-lid plate tectonics prior to 3.4 Ga. Future paleomagnetic investigation of tectonic regime on the early Earth should therefore focus on magnetization directions in well-preserved, oriented whole rocks.