Identifying Climate Impacts From Different Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Strategies in UKESM1
EARTHS FUTURE(2024)
摘要
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) is a proposed method of climate intervention aiming to reduce the impacts of human-induced global warming by reflecting a portion of incoming solar radiation. Many studies have demonstrated that SAI would successfully reduce global-mean surface air temperatures; however the vast array of model scenarios and strategies result in a diverse range of climate impacts. Here we compare two SAI strategies-a quasi- equatorial injection and a multi-latitude off-equatorial injection-simulated with the UK Earth System Model (UKESM1), both aiming to reduce the global-mean surface temperature from that of a high-end emissions scenario to that of a moderate emissions scenario. We compare changes in the surface and stratospheric climate under each strategy to determine how the climate response depends on the injection location. In agreement with previous studies, an equatorial injection results in a tropospheric overcooling in the tropics and a residual warming in the polar regions, with substantial changes to stratospheric temperatures, water vapor and circulation. Previous comparisons of equatorial versus off-equatorial injection strategies are limited to two studies using different versions of the Community Earth System Model. Our study evaluates how the climate responds in UKESM1 under these injection strategies. Our results are broadly consistent with previous findings, concluding that an off-equatorial injection strategy can minimize regional surface temperature and precipitation changes relative to the target. We also present more in-depth analysis of the associated changes in Hadley Circulation and regional temperature changes, and call for a new series of inter-model SAI comparisons using an off-equatorial strategy. Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) is a method to tackle the impacts of global warming and involves reflecting some of the sun's rays away from Earth. Different strategies for implementing SAI can have various effects on the climate. This study compares two strategies-one injecting at the equator and the other at different latitudes. Both strategies successfully lower global temperatures, but they also lead to different regional climate changes. The equatorial strategy cools the tropics too much and doesn't cool the poles enough. Whereas the off-equatorial strategy minimizes some of the negative impacts seen in the equatorial strategy. In summary, injecting aerosols away from the equator avoids unfavorable climate impacts. We compare the climate impacts of equatorial and multi-latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) strategies under the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project G6 framework We demonstrate that an off-equatorial multi-latitude injection strategy minimizes unfavorable climate impacts This research highlights the importance of injection location in determining the impacts of SAI on the climate
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关键词
climate intervention,stratospheric aerosol injection,climate change,climate impacts,geoengineering,climate
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