A reliable transcriptomic risk-score applicable to formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded biopsies improves outcome prediction in localized prostate cancer

Background Clinical manifestation of prostate cancer (PCa) is highly variable. Aggressive tumors require radical treatment while clinically non-significant ones may be suitable for active surveillance. We previously developed the prognostic ProstaTrend RNA signature based on transcriptome‐wide microarray and RNA-sequencing (RNA-Seq) analyses, primarily of prostatectomy specimens. An RNA-Seq study of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor biopsies has now allowed us to use this test as a basis for the development of a novel test that is applicable to FFPE biopsies as a tool for early routine PCa diagnostics. Methods All patients of the FFPE biopsy cohort were treated by radical prostatectomy and median follow-up for biochemical recurrence (BCR) was 9 years. Based on the transcriptome data of 176 FFPE biopsies, we filtered ProstaTrend for genes susceptible to FFPE-associated degradation via regression analysis. ProstaTrend was additionally restricted to genes with concordant prognostic effects in the RNA-Seq TCGA prostate adenocarcinoma (PRAD) cohort to ensure robust and broad applicability. The prognostic relevance of the refined Transcriptomic Risk Score (TRS) was analyzed by Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox-regression models in our FFPE-biopsy cohort and 9 other public datasets from PCa patients with BCR as primary endpoint. In addition, we developed a prostate single-cell atlas of 41 PCa patients from 5 publicly available studies to analyze gene expression of ProstaTrend genes in different cell compartments. Results Validation of the TRS using the original ProstaTrend signature in the cohort of FFPE biopsies revealed a relevant impact of FFPE-associated degradation on gene expression and consequently no significant association with prognosis (Cox-regression, p-value > 0.05) in FFPE tissue. However, the TRS based on the new version of the ProstaTrend-ffpe signature, which included 204 genes (of originally 1396 genes), was significantly associated with BCR in the FFPE biopsy cohort (Cox-regression p-value < 0.001) and retained prognostic relevance when adjusted for Gleason Grade Groups. We confirmed a significant association with BCR in 9 independent cohorts including 1109 patients. Comparison of the prognostic performance of the TRS with 17 other prognostically relevant PCa panels revealed that ProstaTrend-ffpe was among the best-ranked panels. We generated a PCa cell atlas to associate ProstaTrend genes with cell lineages or cell types. Tumor-specific luminal cells have a significantly higher TRS than normal luminal cells in all analyzed datasets. In addition, TRS of epithelial and luminal cells was correlated with increased Gleason score in 3 studies. Conclusions We developed a prognostic gene-expression signature for PCa that can be applied to FFPE biopsies and may be suitable to support clinical decision-making.