Social contact patterns during the early COVID-19 pandemic in Norway: insights from a panel study, April to September 2020

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)(2023)

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摘要
Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries adopted social distance measures and lockdowns of varying strictness. Social contact patterns are essential in driving the spread of respiratory infections, and country-specific measurements are needed. This study aimed to gain insights into changes in social contacts and behaviour during the early pandemic phase in Norway. Methods We conducted an online survey among a nationally representative sample of Norwegian adults, including six data collections/waves between April and September 2020, and used survey data from 2017 as baseline. We calculated mean daily contacts, and estimated age-stratified contact matrices that were used to estimate reproduction numbers during the study period. Results The mean daily number of contacts varied between 3.2 (95% CI 3.0-3.4) to 3.9 (95% CI 3.6-4.2) across waves, representing a 67-73% decline compared to pre-pandemic levels. Fewer contacts in the community setting largely drove the reduction; the drop was most prominent among younger adults. Despite gradual easing of social distance measures during the survey period, population contact matrices remained relatively stable and displayed more inter-age group mixing than at baseline. Contacts within households and the community outside schools and workplaces contributed most to social encounters. Conclusion Social contacts experienced a significant decline during the months following the March 2020 lockdown in Norway, aligning with the implementation of stringent social distancing measures. The findings contribute valuable empirical information into the social behaviour of the Norwegian population during the early pandemic, which can be used to enhance policy-relevant models for addressing future crises when mitigation measures might be implemented. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement The 2020 CoMix study was financed by the Norwegian Research Council (PID 312721), the University of Bergen and the Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH). The baseline study in 2017 was funded by the NIPH. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: The 2020 CoMix study (reference number 128391) and the 2017 study (REK 2016/385) in Norway were approved by the Regional Ethical Committee West. Individuals participated voluntarily in the survey and gave informed consent before inclusion. Data analyses were conducted on anonymised data. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes The dataset analysed for the study contained anonymized individual-level data. All data were stored securely, and confidentiality was protected in accordance with the Data Protection Act, GDPR and in accordance with requirements of the Norwegian Health Research Act. The anonymised CoMix data used for the analyses will be available on the CoMix platform soon after the article is published.
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