The national trend of the burden of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) in Iran from 1990 to 2019

Purpose Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) has become the 8 th leading cause of death in Iran in 2017, 5 steps up from 1990. This is important as hypertension, diabetes, and chronic glomerulonephritis along with exposure to toxins or heavy metals are the main risk factors for the disease. Despite its heavy burden, there are limited studies on the incidence and prevalence of the disease in the Iranian adult population. The present article studies the burden of CKD at the national level in 2019, and its trend over the past three decades. Methods In 2019, the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study provided an annual estimation of the burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries from 1990 until 2019. The data estimating CKD and related mortality in Iran were collected from the disease registry, survey, and scientific literature. All-ages and age-standardised indices of incidence, prevalence, deaths, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were extracted for both sexes. Results Since 1990, the age-standardized incidence (34.7% (95% uncertainty interval 30.8 – 38.8)) and prevalence (19.6% (17.7 – 21.8)) of CKD have risen, while a 21.5% (-28.8 – -15.4) and 18.0% (-35.4 – -10.8) decrease were noted in age-standardized DALYs and deaths rates, respectively. The lowest prevalence was reported in the eastern and western provinces. Conclusion Current study provides comprehensive knowledge about the CKD burden, suggesting the Iranian healthcare system has been more effective in averting deaths rather than managing morbidities. Multi-sectoral action plans are needed to strengthen preventive and early detection programs in high-risk areas.