Time Series Predictions in Unmonitored Sites: A Survey of Machine Learning Techniques in Water Resources
arXiv (Cornell University)(2023)
摘要
Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a
long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the
world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical
environmental variables needed for management. Yet, the need to have widespread
predictions of hydrological variables such as river flow and water quality has
become increasingly urgent due to climate and land use change over the past
decades, and their associated impacts on water resources. Modern machine
learning methods increasingly outperform their process-based and empirical
model counterparts for hydrologic time series prediction with their ability to
extract information from large, diverse data sets. We review relevant
state-of-the art applications of machine learning for streamflow, water
quality, and other water resources prediction and discuss opportunities to
improve the use of machine learning with emerging methods for incorporating
watershed characteristics into deep learning models, transfer learning, and
incorporating process knowledge into machine learning models. The analysis here
suggests most prior efforts have been focused on deep learning learning
frameworks built on many sites for predictions at daily time scales in the
United States, but that comparisons between different classes of machine
learning methods are few and inadequate. We identify several open questions for
time series predictions in unmonitored sites that include incorporating dynamic
inputs and site characteristics, mechanistic understanding and spatial context,
and explainable AI techniques in modern machine learning frameworks.
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