Species distribution models to predict the potential niche shift and priority conservation areas for mangroves (Rhizophora apiculata, R. mucronata) in response to climate and sea level fluctuations along coastal India

•Ensemble prediction of niche shift for stilt mangroves along coastal India.•Mean diurnal range, precipitation, bulk density, and TN in sediments are driving the shift.•Habitat suitability for species shifted northward and landward from mid-Holocene to current.•Suitable habitats along West Bengal, Odisha, Kerala coast are the PCAs for mangrove conservation.