Precision of bone mechanoregulation assessment in humans using longitudinal high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography in vivo

Local mechanical stimuli in the bone microenvironment are essential for the homeostasis and adaptation of the skeleton, with evidence suggesting that disruption of the mechanically-driven bone remodelling process may lead to bone loss. Longitudinal clinical studies have shown the combined use of high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) and micro-finite element analysis can be used to measure load-driven bone remodelling in vivo; however, quantitative markers of bone mechanoregulation and the precision of these analyses methods have not been validated in human subjects. Therefore, this study utilised participants from two cohorts. A same-day cohort (n = 33) was used to develop a filtering strategy to minimise false detections of bone remodelling sites caused by noise and motion artefacts present in HR-pQCT scans. A longitudinal cohort (n = 19) was used to develop bone imaging markers of trabecular bone mechanoregulation and characterise the precision for detecting longitudinal changes in subjects. Specifically, we described local load-driven formation and resorption sites independently using patient-specific odds ratios (OR) and 99 % confidence intervals. Conditional probability curves were computed to link the mechanical environment to the remodelling events detected on the bone surface. To quantify overall mechanoregulation, we calculated a correct classification rate measuring the fraction of remodelling events correctly identified by the mechanical signal. Precision was calculated as root-mean-squared averages of the coefficient of variation (RMS-SD) of repeated measurements using scan-rescan pairs at baseline combined with a one-year follow-up scan. We found no significant mean difference (p < 0.01) between scan-rescan conditional probabilities. RMS-SD was 10.5 % for resorption odds, 6.3 % for formation odds, and 1.3 % for correct classification rates. Bone was most likely to be formed in high-strain and resorbed in low-strain regions for all participants, indicating a consistent, regulated response to mechanical stimuli. For each percent increase in strain, the likelihood of bone resorption decreased by 2.0 ± 0.2 %, and the likelihood of bone formation increased by 1.9 ± 0.2 %, totalling 38.3 ± 1.1 % of strain-driven remodelling events across the entire trabecular compartment. This work provides novel robust bone mechanoregulation markers and their precision for designing future clinical studies.