Baseline bony erosions and time-averaged DAS28 predict discontinuation of TNF inhibitors in rheumatoid arthritis

The present study evaluated the predictive role of baseline radiographic change and disease activity on drug retention and clinical response in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi). Korean Observational Study Network for Arthritis (KORONA) registry was evaluated to identify RA patients treated with a TNFi. Disease activity score-28 (DAS28) was evaluated at baseline and 1 year after TNFi initiation or at termination of TNFi due to inefficacy (within 1 year). The retention rate of TNFi was compared in patients with and without bony erosions. The hazard ratio (HR) for drug retention was evaluated by Cox regression analysis, as was the odds ratio (OR) for achieving remission (DAS28 < 2.6). This study included 109 RA patients, including 97 (89%) women and 30 (27.5%) with erosions, who were treated with a TNFi. Higher baseline DAS28 was negatively associated with achievement of remission (OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.35–0.88). The TNFi retention rate was significantly lower in RA patients with than in those without erosions ( p = 0.04). Factors significantly associated with drug discontinuation included the presence of erosions (HR = 2.45, 95% CI 1.08–5.51) and higher time-averaged DAS28 (HR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.47–3.20), whereas concomitant methotrexate was associated with lack of drug discontinuation (HR = 0.40, 95% CI 0.17–0.95). The presence of erosions and high time-averaged disease activity could predict poor retention of TNFi by RA patients. Higher baseline DAS28 was associated with a reduced clinical response in patients with RA. Trial registration Clinical Research Information Service of South Korea https://cris.nih.go.kr : KCT0000086, registered May 26, 2009.