External Validation of Mortality Prediction Models for Critical Illness Reveals Preserved Discrimination but Poor Calibration.

Eline G M Cox,Renske Wiersema,Ruben J Eck,Thomas Kaufmann,Anders Granholm,Suvi T Vaara,Morten Hylander Møller,Bas C T van Bussel,Harold Snieder,Rick G Pleijhuis,Iwan C C van der Horst,Frederik Keus

Critical care medicine（2023）

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摘要

In only 11 out of 43 available mortality prediction models, the performance could be studied using two cohorts of critically ill patients. External validation showed that the discriminative ability of APACHE II, APACHE IV, and SAPS II was acceptable to excellent, whereas calibration was poor.

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critical care,critically ill patients,intensive care unit,mortality prediction model,performance,risk prediction

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