Temporalis muscle thickness predicts early relapse and short survival in primary CNS lymphoma

Background Most patients with primary CNS lymphoma (PCNSL) achieve durable remission whereas a minority die in the first year. Sarcopenia is a powerful predictor of mortality in the brain and systemic cancers. Temporalis muscle thickness (TMT) is a validated radiographic measure of sarcopenia. We hypothesized that patients with thin TMT at diagnosis would have early progression and short survival. Methods Two blinded operators retrospectively measured TMT in 99 consecutive brain MRIs from untreated patients with PCNSL. Results We generated a receiver operator characteristic curve and chose a single threshold defining thin TMT in all patients as <5.65 mm, at which specificity and sensitivity for 1-year progression were 98.4% and 29.7% and for 1-year mortality were 97.4% and 43.5% respectively. Those with thin TMT were both more likely to progress (P < .001) and had higher rates of mortality (P < .001). These effects were independent of the effect of age, sex, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status in a cox regression. Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center score did not predict progression-free survival or overall survival as well as TMT. Patients with thin TMT received fewer cycles of high-dose methotrexate and were less likely to receive consolidation but neither variable could be included in the Cox regression due to violation of the proportional hazards assumption. Conclusions We conclude that PCNSL patients with thin TMT are at high risk for early relapse and short survival. Future trials should stratify patients by TMT to avoid confounding.