Triggering of ST-elevation myocardial infarction by ultrafine particles in New York: Changes following Tier 3 vehicle introduction.

BACKGROUND:Previously, we found increased rates of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) associated with increased ultrafine particle (UFP; <100 nm) concentrations in the previous few hours in Rochester, New York. Relative rates were higher after air quality policies and a recession reduced pollutant concentrations (2014-2016 versus 2005-2013), suggesting PM composition had changed and the same PM mass concentration had become more toxic. Tier 3 light duty vehicles, which should produce less primary organic aerosols and oxidizable gaseous compounds, likely making PM less toxic, were introduced in 2017. Thus, we hypothesized we would observe a lower relative STEMI rate in 2017-2019 than 2014-2016. METHODS:Using STEMI events treated at the University of Rochester Medical Center (2014-2019), UFP and other pollutants measured in Rochester, a case-crossover design, and conditional logistic regression models, we estimated the rate of STEMI associated with increased UFP and other pollutants in the previous hours and days in the 2014-2016 and 2017-2019 periods. RESULTS:An increased rate of STEMI was associated with each 3111 particles/cm3 increase in UFP concentration in the previous hour in 2014-2016 (lag hour 0: OR = 1.22; 95% CI = 1.06, 1.39), but not in 2017-2019 (OR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.80, 1.10). There were similar patterns for black carbon, UFP11-50nm, and UFP51-100nm. In contrast, increased rates of STEMI were associated with each 0.6 ppb increase in SO2 concentration in the previous 120 h in both periods (2014-2016: OR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.03, 1.55; 2017-2019: OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 0.87, 1.68). CONCLUSIONS:Greater rates of STEMI were associated with short term increases in concentrations of UFP and other motor vehicle related pollutants before Tier 3 introduction (2014-2016), but not afterwards (2017-2019). This change may be due to changes in PM composition after Tier 3 introduction, as well as to increased exposure misclassification and greater underestimation of effects from 2017 to 2019.