Institutional, therapeutic, and individual factors associated with 30‐day mortality after COVID ‐19 diagnosis in Canadian long‐term care facilities

Background Canadian long-term care facility (LTCF) residents experienced higher death rates compared to other countries during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. This cohort study analyzes the individual, therapeutic, and institutional factors associated with death in LTCFs. Methods Institutional data for 17 LTCFs in Montreal, Canada were obtained from local administrative registries. Individual data for 1197 residents infected by SARS-CoV-2 between February 23 and July 11, 2020 were obtained through chart reviews. A multivariable modified Poisson regression model, which accounted for LTCF clustering, was used to identify resident and facility covariates associated with 30-day mortality after COVID-19 diagnosis. Results Severe shortage of licensed practical nurses (RR 2.60 95% CI 1.20-5.61) and medium-sized facilities compared to smaller-sized facilities (RR 2.73 95% CI 1.23-6.07) were associated with 30-day mortality. Later COVID-19 diagnosis (RR 0.98 95% CI 0.97-0.99 per additional day) was associated with survival. Individual risk factors for death included age (RR 1.33 95% CI 1.23-1.45 per additional 10 years), male sex (RR 1.46 95% CI 1.24-1.71), functional impairment (RR 1.08 95% CI 1.04-1.12 per unit increase of SMAF), as well as a diagnosis of congestive heart failure (RR 1.31 95% CI 1.04-1.66) and neurocognitive disorder (RR 1.31 95% CI 1.01-1.70). Among severe cases, anticoagulation was associated with survival (RR 0.70 95% CI 0.51-0.96). Conclusions This study identified practical nurse shortages and facility size as institutional risk factors for COVID-19 death. Anticoagulation was associated with survival among severe cases.