I’m not sure what to think about them: Confronting naive present bias in a dynamic threshold public goods game

This paper explores the implications of naive present bias in a simple, dynamic threshold public goods game. Our analysis demonstrates how equilibrium behavior and outcomes can be highly dependent on the “direction” with which players reassess their naive prior beliefs (including higher-order beliefs) regarding both players’ present biases. In some situations, a naive player may actually become more inclined to exert effort in pursuit of a future reward upon discovering their own present bias.