Implementation of a watershed modelling framework to support adaptive management in the Canadian side of the Lake Erie basin

The present study aims to provide guidelines with respect to the implementation of a watershed modelling framework that can support adaptive management in the Canadian side of the Lake Erie basin. Our primary objective is to highlight the establishment of a multimodel ensemble as an appealing strategy that can address a wide range of conceptual and operational uncertainties typically underlying any modelling exercise. We identify three ensemble strategies that have different implications for the granularity of the analysis, empirical knowledge and data input demands to constrain the individual models, and required timeframe to operationalize them.