A global analysis of the impact of COVID-19 stay-at-home restrictions on crime.

Amy E Nivette, Renee Zahnow,Raul Aguilar, Andri Ahven,Shai Amram, Barak Ariel,María José Arosemena Burbano, Roberta Astolfi,Dirk Baier, Hyung-Min Bark, Joris E H Beijers,Marcelo Bergman, Gregory Breetzke, I Alberto Concha-Eastman,Sophie Curtis-Ham, Ryan Davenport, Carlos Díaz,Diego Fleitas, Manne Gerell,Kwang-Ho Jang, Juha Kääriäinen,Tapio Lappi-Seppälä, Woon-Sik Lim, Rosa Loureiro Revilla, Lorraine Mazerolle,Gorazd Meško,Noemí Pereda,Maria F T Peres, Rubén Poblete-Cazenave, Simon Rose,Robert Svensson, Nico Trajtenberg,Tanja van der Lippe, Joran Veldkamp,Carlos J Vilalta Perdomo,Manuel P Eisner

Nature human behaviour（2021）

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摘要

The stay-at-home restrictions to control the spread of COVID-19 led to unparalleled sudden change in daily life, but it is unclear how they affected urban crime globally. We collected data on daily counts of crime in 27 cities across 23 countries in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia. We conducted interrupted time series analyses to assess the impact of stay-at-home restrictions on different types of crime in each city. Our findings show that the stay-at-home policies were associated with a considerable drop in urban crime, but with substantial variation across cities and types of crime. Meta-regression results showed that more stringent restrictions over movement in public space were predictive of larger declines in crime.

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