Towards an Understanding of Cryptocurrency: A Comparative Analysis of Cryptocurrency, Foreign Exchange, and Stock

2019 IEEE International Conference on Intelligence and Security Informatics (ISI)(2019)

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摘要
Cryptocurrency is a cutting-edge Fintech innovation and currently a worldwide hotspot. However, the high-speed evolution of it has already caused a series of public security related events all around the world. Cryptocurrency was built initially as a possible implementation of digital currency, then various derivatives were created in a variety of fields such as financial transactions, capital management, and even nonmonetary applications. This paper aims to offer analytical insights to help understand cryptocurrency by treating it as a financial asset. We position cryptocurrency by comparing its dynamic characteristics with two traditional and massively adopted financial assets: foreign exchange and stock. Based on the daily close prices about four years, we first construct the correlation matrices and asset trees of all three markets, then conduct comparisons on five properties: volatility, centrality, clustering structure, robustness, and risk. Our investigation suggests that the dynamics of cryptocurrency are more similar to stock. As to the robustness and clustering structure, our analysis shows cryptocurrency market is more fragile than stock market, thus it is currently a high-risk financial market. Our work is the first to study cryptocurrency with the help of well-understood financial assets and may shed some light on investment decisions, regulation, and legislation.
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关键词
cryptocurrency,blockchain,financial market,correlation matrix,asset tree,systemic risk
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