Parameter Estimation for Time Varying Dynamical Systems Using Least Squares Support Vector Machines

Abstract This paper develops a new approach based on Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVMs) for parameter estimation of time invariant as well as time varying dynamical SISO systems. Closed-form approximate models for the state and its derivative are first derived from the observed data by means of LS-SVMs. The time-derivative information is then substituted into the system of ODEs, converting the parameter estimation problem into an algebraic optimization problem. In the case of time invariant systems one can use least-squares to solve the obtained system of algebraic equations. The estimation of time-varying coefficients in SISO models, is obtained by assuming an LS-SVM model for it.