Coherence in the aggregate

International Journal of Approximate Reasoning(2015)

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摘要
We investigate a generalised betting method and isolate its general form of coherence.We provide an operational semantics for belief and plausibility functions.We investigate generalised uncertainty measures on MV-algebras. Betting methods, of which de Finetti's Dutch Book is by far the most well-known, are uncertainty modelling devices which accomplish a twofold aim. Whilst providing an (operational) interpretation of the relevant measure of uncertainty, they also provide a formal definition of coherence. The main purpose of this paper is to put forward a betting method for belief functions on MV-algebras of many-valued events which allows us to isolate the corresponding coherence criterion, which we term coherence in the aggregate. Our framework generalises the classical Dutch Book method.
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关键词
Belief functions,Necessity measures,Subjective probability,Many-valued events,Betting methods,De Finetti
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